Saturday, 9 June 2012

Roland Garros Final 2012 Preview: Djokovic vs Nadal


     The final two contenders for this year’s French Open title have been revealed.  World number 1 Novak Djokovic will take on world number 2 and King of clay Rafael Nadal.
Copyright Getty Images
     Despite the outcome history will be made with this Roland Garros title: Nadal seeks his 7th French Open title to surpass current record holder Bjorn Borg in terms of titles won at RG while the Serb is aiming to become the first player since Rod Laver in 1969 to hold all 4 grand slam titles at the same time- a feat not even rivals Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer could accomplish.
     In terms of match wins against the Serb, the Spaniard leads 18-14 however surely regardless of any statistic Nadal will walk on Court Philippe Chatrier as the firm favourite after his successful clay court season with wins in Monte Carlo, Barcelona and Rome on the way to Roland Garros.  Nadal has looked faultless throughout the tournament, brushing aside each of his opponents in straight sets and, even more remarkably, only losing his serve once in the entire tournament.  Even in the semi-finals Nadal was able to brush fellow compatriot and respected clay court player David Ferrer aside with a surprisingly easy score line.
Copyright Getty Images
     In contrast however, the world number 1 hasn't had the easiest journey to the final, having been pushed to the limits by Italian Andreas Seppi, and having been match point down 4 times in his epic 5 set battle against Frenchman Jo-Wilfred Tsonga.  His semi-final match against Federer has surprisingly been his easiest match in the second week of the tournament, easing past the former world number one in straight sets, despite having to salvage breaks of his serve in both the first and second sets.
     Nadal has already defeated the world number 1 twice on clay this season to reiterate his dominance on the surface.  However, no one should brush aside any hope Novak Djokovic has of winning on Sunday as we are all far too aware of how brilliant Djokovic can be.  Last year Djokovic proved he had the ability and stamina to beat the King of clay.  In addition to this, the match record between the two in grand slam finals stands heavily in the Serb’s favour, which will surely give Djokovic and spectators alike, some confidence walking into the match.
Copyright Getty Images
     Unlike Nadal, Djokovic is very inexperienced in French Open finals and so it is absolutely vital that the world number one begins the match strongly and very aggressive against the defending champion.  If Novak is to stand a chance of taking the title from Nadal he must also ensure that he attacks every one of Nadal’s serves- both first and second.  If he can get a strong start at the beginning of each point on the Spaniard’s serve and play aggressive in these points he will put the pressure on Nadal- something all his other opponents have failed to do.  On top of this, Novak has to make sure his first serve percentage stays high, as well as varying up his game to keep Nadal guessing.  It is imperative that Djokovic can dominate play as much as possible, and keep the points short and sweet: Nadal will have the edge the longer the points last.  The sooner he plants that seed of doubt in the Spaniards mind, the more chance he has of winning the title.
     In terms of what can Nadal do… well, is there anything else he needs to do to grab himself his 7th Roland Garros title?  Just keep the Serb running.  If Nadal is dominating the points and having Djokovic constantly running around the court then it will almost certainly guarantee him the match as the world number one is surely tired after two 5 set matches this week- yes he’s had time to recover but he still showed signs of defeat and tiredness against Roger Federer in the semi-finals, something he must not do on Sunday if he relishes any chance of obtaining his first French Open title.
Copyright Getty Images
     The world number 1 ranking is not at risk in this match, which will keep Djokovic that it calmer, however this win is vital for Nadal if he really wants to surpass Novak and regain the number 1 ranking in the near future.
     My verdict? Despite it paining me to go against Djokovic, I can’t see the Serb beating the King of clay, UNLESS the match was to go the distance and it was all down to the 5th and final set.  If this turns out to be the case, it is the only time I’d favour the world number one over Rafael Nadal.  Nadal will really be feeling the pressure at that point, in comparison to Novak who will have gained all the confidence he needs to push that little bit further to win the Championships.
     We know the Spaniard can do it and probably will do it, but I most certainly would never brush aside Novak Djokovic.  After two disappointing semi-finals, surely this match will be one epic battle… but who will come out on top?

No comments:

Post a Comment